The extinction event is not coming. It is here.

Scientists have been warning for years that Earth is entering a sixth mass extinction. The newest evidence suggests the collapse of biodiversity is not a distant threat but a present-tense crisis — and humanity is still responding too slowly.

By Jennifer Buergermeister

We keep talking about extinction as though it belongs to the future, as though it is a dark chapter waiting somewhere ahead. But the latest science says otherwise. The mass extinction is not coming. It is already in motion, unfolding in forests, rivers, grasslands, coral reefs and oceans all over the planet. Scientists have warned that around 1 million species are threatened with extinction, many within decades, and that the rate of species loss is already tens to hundreds of times higher than the average over the past 10 million years.  

That language should stop us cold. Mass extinction is not a poetic exaggeration. It is a scientific description of what happens when biodiversity collapses at a planetary scale. And while many people still imagine extinction as the disappearance of a few iconic animals, the deeper crisis begins long before the final vanishing. Species populations shrink. Habitats fragment. Food webs weaken. Ecological resilience thins out. By the time the public notices a disappearance, the living system that supported that species has often been under assault for years.

The numbers now available are staggering enough on their own. The International Union for Conservation of Nature says the Red List includes more than 172,600 species, with more than 48,600 threatened with extinction. That is not a complete count of life on Earth; it is simply the portion scientists have formally assessed. In other words, the documented crisis is already enormous even before accounting for the countless organisms that remain understudied.  

Another warning light is flashing in wildlife population data. WWF’s 2024 Living Planet Report found an average 73% decline in monitored wildlife populations since 1970. That does not mean 73% of species are extinct. It means the average size of tracked populations of mammals, birds, reptiles, amphibians and fish has dropped dramatically. Freshwater populations were hit hardest. This is what ecological unraveling looks like before many species disappear entirely.  

And this is not merely an animal story. It is a human one. Biodiversity is not decorative. It underpins pollination, clean water, healthy soils, fisheries, climate resilience and disease regulation. When ecosystems lose complexity, human societies lose security. The destruction of biodiversity is, at bottom, the destruction of the systems that quietly make civilization possible.  

So are we realizing it fast enough? Some of us are. Governments have signed sweeping agreements. The global biodiversity framework adopted by countries in 2022 includes the headline goal of conserving 30% of the world’s land and sea by 2030. Recent U.N. negotiations in Rome also ended with countries backing a plan tied to mobilizing $200 billion a year for nature protection by 2030, along with new rules for monitoring progress. Those are meaningful steps, and they show the crisis is no longer invisible at the diplomatic level.  

But promises are not protection. Targets are not restored wetlands. A framework does not stop bulldozers, overfishing, toxic runoff or deforestation by itself. Even recent assessments of biodiversity implementation show that many countries are still lagging in turning international promises into detailed national action. The world has become better at acknowledging the emergency than at behaving as though it is one.  

That gap between knowing and doing may be the most damning fact of all. The science has been loud. The data are not subtle. The warning is no longer buried in obscure journals. It is in global assessments, conservation reports, U.N. negotiations and daily ecological change. We are not suffering from a lack of information. We are suffering from a failure of urgency, courage and moral imagination.  

Perhaps part of the problem is that mass extinction does not always look dramatic in real time. It can look like fewer birds greeting the morning. Fewer insects striking the windshield. A river that still moves, but no longer teems with life. A coral reef that still stands, but has lost its color, diversity and vitality. The crisis often arrives not as spectacle, but as subtraction. Life gets quieter, thinner, lonelier — and then we call that new emptiness normal, a slow adaption where we keep pushing along.

To accept this as normal is to accept a diminished Earth and, with it, a diminished human future. The sixth mass extinction is not only a tragedy for wildlife. It is a referendum on whether our species can recognize that the natural world is not scenery, not raw material, not an afterthought to profit and politics. It is the living foundation beneath everything.  

We are not caring fast enough yet. Not at the scale the moment requires. Not with the seriousness the science demands. We are still behaving as though the loss of life around us is negotiable, gradual, survivable, someone else’s problem. But extinction does not bargain, and ecosystems do not wait for political convenience. The great unraveling is already underway. The only remaining question is whether humanity will act before the silence becomes irreversible.  

References

Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. “Nature’s Dangerous Decline ‘Unprecedented’; Species Extinction Rates ‘Accelerating’.” 2019.  

International Union for Conservation of Nature. “About the IUCN Red List.”  

International Union for Conservation of Nature. “Summary Statistics.”  

World Wildlife Fund. “2024 Living Planet Report.” Oct. 10, 2024.  

World Wildlife Fund. “Catastrophic 73% Decline in the Average Size of Global Wildlife Populations in Just 50 Years Reveals a System in Peril.” Oct. 9, 2024.  

World Wildlife Fund. “Living Planet Report Reveals Catastrophic Wildlife Decline.” Oct. 10, 2024.  

Reuters. “Nations Agree Plan to Finance Nature Protection at Second Attempt.” Feb. 28, 2025.  

Associated Press. “UN Talks End in Rome With Nations Backing $200 Billion a Year Plan to Protect Nature.” Feb. 28, 2025.  

“The question is not what you look at, but what you see. “ ~Henry Thoreau